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Table 7 Negative binomial regressions: deaths, incidence rate ratios

From: The world trade network: country centrality and the COVID-19 pandemic

DEP. VAR.: DEATH

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

(5)

Degree

2.878***

    
 

(0.888)

    

Betweenness

 

6.750***

   
  

(3.022)

   

Local Clustering

  

8.648***

  
   

(3.579)

  

Weighted Eigenvector

   

5.123**

 
    

(3.339)

 

Strength (:\(10^9\))

    

6.893***

     

(5.123)

GDPPC

1.458

0.755

0.930

0.933

0.966

 

(0.671)

(0.162)

(0.141)

(0.149)

(0.136)

POP

2.897

1.486

0.867

1.020

1.016

 

(3.258)

(1.636)

(0.102)

(0.196)

(0.169)

POP65+

6.223***

3.099***

2.136***

5.423***

4.037***

 

(2.549)

(1.216)

(0.606)

(2.338)

(1.830)

HBEDS

0.370***

0.434***

0.484***

0.382***

0.429***

 

(0.105)

(0.127)

(0.099)

(0.119)

(0.127)

TEMP

1.721

0.973

1.426*

1.968

1.915**

 

(0.471)

(0.424)

(0.272)

(0.814)

(0.556)

Week dummies

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Overdispersion (\(\alpha\))

2.245***

2.055***

1.400***

1.933***

1.805***

 

(0.283)

(0.255)

(0.217)

(0.266)

(0.263)

N

275

275

275

275

275

Log Pseudo-likelihood

− 1519.4

− 1500.6

− 1437.9

− 1490.9

− 1479.2

AIC

3062.9

3025.3

2899.9

3005.7

2982.3

BIC

3106.3

3068.7

2943.3

3049.2

3025.7

Pseudo \(R^2\)

0.101

0.112

0.149

0.118

0.124

Max VIF

3.01

3.20

2.72

2.57

2.60

Mean VIF

1.79

1.89

1.73

1.69

1.68

Pearson GOF test

1.07e+07

713491.1

228495.4

297189.9

301596.9

p-value

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.000

  1. Country-level clustered standard errors in parentheses.
  2. All the estimates also include a constant term. *\(p < 0.1\); **\(p < 0.05\); ***\(p < 0.01\).