Fig. 7
From: Network model and analysis of the spread of Covid-19 with social distancing
Simulation of the 60-day lockdown from day 15 to day 75. a Representation of the ~ 16% of simulations that have two waves of infection for the day 15 to day 75 lockdown. The peak in the reproduction number after day 75 foreshadows a second wave of infection. Comparing with Figs. 5 and 6, we note that the second wave of infection is less intense when the lockdown starts later. b Representation of the ~ 58% of simulations that have only one wave of infection for the day 15 to day 75 lockdown