Fig. 5
From: Network model and analysis of the spread of Covid-19 with social distancing
Simulation of the 60-day lockdown from day 5 to day 65. a Representation of the ~ 40% of simulation results where there is a second wave of infection when the lockdown is from day 5 to day 65. The effective reproduction number increases dramatically after the end of the lockdown, foreshadowing the second peak of the infection. b Representation of the ~ 24% simulation results where there is no second wave of infection for the lockdown period of day 5 to day 65. The effective reproduction number stays below 1 after the lockdown is lifted