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Applied Network Science

Table 3 Daily error fraction value between NIPA-LD and NIPA for 30 neglected days, from day 1 to day 15

From: Network-based prediction of COVID-19 epidemic spreading in Italy

REGION

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

14

15

Abruzzo

0.95

0.87

0.60

0.39

0.29

1.79

2.36

3.72

42.05

12.74

5.05

3.78

1.69

1.33

0.89

Basilicata

1.25

1.49

1.24

2.30

0.57

1.13

5.66

2.10

2.44

0.75

0.96

0.47

14.23

10.49

3.03

P.A.Bolzano

0.99

0.99

0.97

0.96

0.95

0.94

0.91

0.90

0.86

0.85

0.83

0.81

0.79

0.76

0.75

Calabria

0.29

1.62

2.25

2.18

3.88

1.79

2.41

3.86

4.09

3.46

5.59

7.73

42.64

11.92

5.20

Campania

1.40

1.78

17.39

2.37

8.57

50.66

11.08

16.77

17.08

36.70

15.02

12.15

12.58

5.93

4.18

Emilia

0.91

0.89

0.86

0.78

0.73

0.66

0.61

0.58

0.53

0.49

0.44

0.39

0.36

0.33

0.31

Friuli

0.10

1.75

0.86

0.25

1.37

1.22

1.17

1.06

0.84

0.77

0.73

0.95

0.90

0.75

0.68

Lazio

0.96

0.93

0.87

0.77

23.13

3.49

3.20

3.04

41.13

9.69

3.61

3.97

1.83

1.29

0.87

Liguria

0.61

0.82

2.46

1.41

1.33

1.39

1.46

1.70

1.59

1.79

1.77

1.84

1.97

1.96

2.34

Lombardia

0.96

1.03

1.08

1.12

1.26

1.39

1.64

2.89

2.64

3.88

5.70

11.31

6.56

11.18

13.02

Marche

0.76

0.39

0.14

0.07

0.03

0.29

0.59

0.52

0.26

0.17

0.20

0.19

0.16

0.19

0.15

Molise

1.00

1.00

1.00

1.00

1.00

1.00

0.99

0.99

0.99

0.99

0.99

0.99

0.99

0.99

0.99

Piemonte

0.96

0.93

0.80

0.61

0.39

0.08

0.30

0.32

0.20

0.17

0.31

0.34

0.27

0.18

0.14

Puglia

0.90

0.87

0.81

0.76

0.70

0.65

0.61

0.56

0.49

0.41

0.38

0.15

0.11

0.05

0.01

Sardegna

0.85

0.84

0.79

0.75

0.65

0.50

0.46

0.45

0.41

0.38

0.35

0.34

0.33

0.33

0.35

Sicilia

0.72

0.91

0.82

0.68

0.63

0.56

0.53

0.47

0.40

0.33

0.29

0.28

0.32

0.31

0.29

Toscana

0.85

0.76

0.60

0.38

0.24

0.02

0.32

0.21

0.08

0.08

0.10

0.27

0.24

0.23

0.18

P.A.Trento

0.88

0.73

0.45

0.52

0.52

0.41

0.22

0.01

0.02

0.11

0.20

0.27

0.27

0.31

0.21

Umbria

0.73

1.28

3.13

3.07

1.91

0.43

0.51

0.23

0.44

0.25

0.30

0.20

0.18

0.12

0.08

ValleAosta

0.97

0.92

0.72

0.29

1.61

10.45

0.03

0.20

0.27

0.37

0.36

0.35

0.38

0.36

0.34

Veneto

0.80

0.62

0.51

0.41

0.27

0.17

0.18

0.18

0.08

0.03

0.05

0.04

0.05

0.04

0.04

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