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Table 2 Relative error bounds of activation and recovery parameters of global risks from the year 2013 to 2017

From: Evolution of threats in the global risk network

  2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
activation bound 0.181 0.125 0.174 0.200 0.188
recovery bound 0.087 0.104 0.119 0.077 0.071
  1. Clearly activation bounds are higher, up to 2.5 times higher than corresponding recovery bounds. The former peak at 20% in 2016, while the latter peak at 12% in 2015