Fig. 11
The mean-field steady state probabilities of risk activity in all categories for each of the networks from 2013 to 2017. In agreement with the results presented earlier, the economic risks drastically decrease from 2014 and maintain a low level afterward. Environmental risks occur regularly, with the exception of “Extreme weather” during 2014. The geopolitical risks have a small increase in 2015, during which interstate conflicts increase. The average values of societal risks experience a steady rise, but the maximum values have a high variance. That is because the Risk 08 “Severe income disparity” is put into societal risks in 2014, and because “Large-scale involuntary migration” drastically increases in 2016. Technological risks gradually increase with an anomalous spike encountered during 2014