Fig. 6

The evolution curves of the perceived danger (solid blue) for Shanghai, averaged over all its agents, along with its component curves of personal estimations (dashed orange) and influence (dashed-dotted green) for the underlying danger being the normalised infectious class of an SIR model. The columns from left to right correspond to a different method of personal estimation. The topology is ER and the influence model the F–J. Averaged results over 10 realisations. The SIR infectious parameters are infectious transmission \(k=1.5\) and recovery time \(\tau =5\) days/time steps (\(R_o=7.5\) for highly endemic conditions). The initial conditions are \((S,I,R)|_{t=0}=(1-I_{t=0},I_{t=0},0)\)