Fig. 4

TIB (blue dashed) and TPB (green solid) SIR models on the Irish cattle trade network together with the average of \(10^3\) Monte-Carlo simulations (red dash-dotted). a, c The time series for the prevalence of infection in the network and b, d the cumulative prevalence of infection within the network. The probability of infection is set to \(\beta = 0.3\) in a, b and \(\beta = 0.5\) in c, d. The initial chance of infection is 0.03. Other parameters: \(\mu =0.005\)