Fig. 5

Success of the campaign by different seed states. a The ratio of states in which a compliance campaign succeeded mobilization before lockdowns for a given seed state under moderate polarization (\(\alpha =0.5\)). The most populated county of each seed state is chosen as the seed county. We used the median time series of 100 simulations to determine the date of success. The error bars denote the success rate calculated for the upper and lower limits of the interquartile range of the mobilization sizes instead of the median value. b The rank correlation (i.e., \(r_{s} = 0.66\)) between the fraction of Democratic population and the success of campaign in each state. Each bullet denotes each state and is sized by the population