Fig. 9
From: Network model and analysis of the spread of Covid-19 with social distancing
Simulation of the case of phasing out of lockdown for 30 days. a Representation of the ~ 6% of simulation results that have a second wave of infection for the lockdown from day 5 to day 65 and complete normalcy resumes on day 95. b Representation of the ~ 57% of simulation results that have only one wave of infection for the lockdown from day 5 to day 65 and complete normalcy resumes on day 95. An increase in the duration of the phasing out period from 15 (see Fig. 8) to 30 leads to a significant reduction in the probability of a second wave of infection