Table 1 Evolution of the estimates for the proportion of stubborn agents \((s_0^\star , s_1^\star )\) over time
From: Forecasting elections results via the voter model with stubborn nodes
Year | Conservative | Labour | Year | Republicans | Democrats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1924 | (62, 38) | (65, 30) | 1920 | (23, 23) | (44, 42) |
1929 | (20, 21) | (61, 30) | 1924 | (15, 21) | (18, 12) |
1931 | (28, 20) | (55, 30) | 1928 | (18, 23) | (15, 8) |
1935 | (1, 5) | (53, 27) | 1932 | (18, 23) | (18, 11) |
1945 | (9, 10) | (48, 26) | 1936 | (16, 18) | (10, 8) |
1950 | (11, 10) | (26, 17) | 1940 | (13, 13) | (7, 7) |
1951 | (13, 12) | (23, 16) | 1944 | (14, 14) | (9, 8) |
1955 | (13, 12) | (23, 16) | 1948 | (15, 15) | (9, 8) |
1959 | (15, 14) | (22, 16) | 1952 | (17, 16) | (10, 9) |
1964 | (16, 15) | (25, 18) | 1956 | (16, 16) | (11, 10) |
1966 | (18, 16) | (25, 18) | 1960 | (16, 16) | (11, 10) |
1970 | (18, 16) | (24, 18) | 1964 | (17, 17) | (12, 11) |
1974 | (19, 17) | (26, 19) | 1968 | (17, 16) | (10, 10) |
1974 | (19, 16) | (26, 19) | 1972 | (17, 16) | (12, 11) |
1979 | (19, 16) | (26, 19) | 1976 | (15, 15) | (11, 10) |
1983 | (20, 17) | (28, 20) | 1980 | (16, 16) | (12, 11) |
1987 | (20, 17) | (22, 15) | 1984 | (16, 16) | (13, 11) |
1992 | (22, 18) | (21, 14) | 1988 | (16, 16) | (13, 11) |
1997 | (22, 18) | (23, 15) | 1992 | (16, 16) | (14, 12) |
2001 | (19, 15) | (24, 16) | 1996 | (15, 15) | (14, 12) |
2005 | (18, 14) | (24, 16) | 2000 | (16, 15) | (15, 13) |
2010 | (17, 13) | (24, 16) | 2004 | (16, 15) | (15, 13) |
2015 | (18, 13) | (22, 14) | 2008 | (16, 16) | (15, 13) |
2017 | (18, 13) | (22, 14) | 2012 | (17, 16) | (16, 14) |
2019 | (19, 14) | (22, 14) | 2016 | (17, 16) | (16, 14) |
2024 | (19, 14) | (24, 15) | 2020 | (18, 17) | (16, 14) |