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Table 2 Average MAPE prediction error of COVID-19 deaths for NIPA and NIPA-LD, when the number of neglected days is 30

From: Network-based prediction of COVID-19 epidemic spreading in Italy

REGION Error NIPA Error NIPA-LD
Abruzzo 0.1065 \(\times \) 10\(^{-4}\) 0.1293 \(\times 10^{-4}\)
Basilicata 0.0198 \(\times \) 10\(^{-4}\) 0.0114 \(\times \) 10 \(^{-4}\)
P.A.Bolzano 0.0714 \(\times \) 10\(^{-4}\) 0.0204 \(\times \) 10 \(^{-4}\)
Calabria 0.0051 \(\times \) 10\(^{-4}\) 0.0031 \(\times \) 10 \(^{-4}\)
Campania 0.0133 \(\times \) 10 \(^{-4}\) 0.0233 \(\times \) 10\(^{-4}\)
Emilia 0.0244 \(\times \) 10 \(^{-4}\) 0.2203 \(\times \) 10\(^{-4}\)
Friuli 0.0846 \(\times \) 10 \(^{-4}\) 0.1081 \(\times \) 10\(^{-4}\)
Lazio 0.0314 \(\times \) 10 \(^{-4}\) 0.0416 \(\times \) 10\(^{-4}\)
Liguria 0.1840 \(\times \) 10\(^{-4}\) 0.1562 \(\times \) 10 \(^{-4}\)
Lombardia 0.133 \(\times \) 10 \(^{-4}\) 0.3821 \(\times \) 10\(^{-4}\)
Marche 0.1006 \(\times \) 10\(^{-4}\) 0.0621 \(\times \) 10 \(^{-4}\)
Molise 0.3505 \(\times \) 10\(^{-4}\) 0.0931 \(\times \) 10 \(^{-4}\)
Piemonte 0.3525 \(\times \) 10\(^{-4}\) 0.2932 \(\times \) 10 \(^{-4}\)
Puglia 0.3811 \(\times \) 10\(^{-4}\) 0.3170 \(\times \) 10 \(^{-4}\)
Sardegna 0.0102 \(\times \) 10\(^{-4}\) 0.0036 \(\times \) 10 \(^{-4}\)
Sicilia 0.0090 \(\times \) 10\(^{-4}\) 0.0017 \(\times \) 10 \(^{-4}\)
Toscana 0.0488 \(\times \) 10\(^{-4}\) 0.0675 \(\times \) 10 \(^{-4}\)
P.A.Trento 0.1106 \(\times \) 10\(^{-4}\) 0.0142 \(\times \) 10 \(^{-4}\)
Umbria 0.0038 \(\times \) 10 \(^{-4}\) 0.0089 \(\times \) 10\(^{-4}\)
ValleAosta 0.0493 \(\times \) 10\(^{-4}\) 0.0335 \(\times \) 10 \(^{-4}\)
Veneto 0.0423 \(\times \) 10\(^{-4}\) 0.0055 \(\times \) 10 \(^{-4}\)