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Table 1 Percentage improvement of NIPA-LD over NIPA prediction for different transmission modifier values and increasing number of neglected days

From: Network-based prediction of COVID-19 epidemic spreading in Italy

\(n_{neglect}\) \(pe_{\pi _{LD1}}\) \(pe_{\pi _{LD2}}\) \(pe_{\pi _{LD3}}\) \(pe_{\pi _{LD4}}\) \(pe_{\pi _{LD5}}\) \(pe_{\pi _{LD6}}\) \(pe_{\pi _{LD7}}\)
10 35.369 34.566 19.279 19.279 19.279 4.22 4.22
20 − 33.766 − 16.233 − 7.7 − 7.7 − 0.842 4.805 4.805
30 10.438 15.147 20.894 23.981 27.721 31.747 26.56
40 17.921 22.802 28.729 32.319 43.716 49.14 54.095