Table 1 Percentage improvement of NIPA-LD over NIPA prediction for different transmission modifier values and increasing number of neglected days
From: Network-based prediction of COVID-19 epidemic spreading in Italy
\(n_{neglect}\) | \(pe_{\pi _{LD1}}\) | \(pe_{\pi _{LD2}}\) | \(pe_{\pi _{LD3}}\) | \(pe_{\pi _{LD4}}\) | \(pe_{\pi _{LD5}}\) | \(pe_{\pi _{LD6}}\) | \(pe_{\pi _{LD7}}\) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | 35.369 | 34.566 | 19.279 | 19.279 | 19.279 | 4.22 | 4.22 |
20 | − 33.766 | − 16.233 | − 7.7 | − 7.7 | − 0.842 | 4.805 | 4.805 |
30 | 10.438 | 15.147 | 20.894 | 23.981 | 27.721 | 31.747 | 26.56 |
40 | 17.921 | 22.802 | 28.729 | 32.319 | 43.716 | 49.14 | 54.095 |