North–North networks | South–South networks | North–South networks | |
---|---|---|---|
Estimate (S.E.) | Estimate (S.E.) | Estimate (S.E.) | |
Rate parameters | |||
Period 1 | 4.116 (0.436) | 18.569 (0.700) | 10.324 (0.442) |
Period 2 | 5.533 (0.562) | 18.120 (0.701) | 9.324 (0.418) |
Period 3 | 4.088 (0.439) | 10.557 (0.405) | 5.011 (0.249) |
Period 4 | 4.383 (0.468) | 12.605 (0.484) | 5.272 (0.256) |
Network endogenous effects | |||
Outdegree | − 4.280*** (0.377) | − 2.557*** (0.156) | − 4.815*** (0.106) |
Reciprocity | 2.787*** (0.235) | 3.101*** (0.106) | 1.955*** (0.055) |
Transitive triads (030T) | 0.120*** (0.021) | 0.053*** (0.003) | – |
Transitive recipr. triads (120C) | − 0.108*** (0.032) | − 0.037*** (0.005) | – |
Cyclic triads (030C) | 0.004 (0.042) | 0.026*** (0.007) | – |
GWDSP mixed-star | – | – | − 0.078*** (0.010) |
GWDSP in-star | – | – | 0.053*** (0.008) |
Indegree—popularity (sqrt) | 0.852*** (0.141) | 0.600*** (0.032) | 0.520*** (0.028) |
Outdegree—popularity (sqrt) | − 0.717*** (0.180) | − 0.883*** (0.050) | − 0.154*** (0.032) |
Outdegree—activity (sqrt) | 0.236*** (0.051) | 0.099*** (0.015) | 0.222*** (0.012) |
MST linkages | |||
Common language | 0.785*** (0.208) | 0.335*** (0.035) | 0.607*** (0.058) |
Contiguous border | 0.960*** (0.169) | 1.688*** (0.204) | 1.235*** (0.292) |
Same region | 0.107 (0.111) | 0.603*** (0.045) | 1.052*** (0.103) |
Shared IGO | 0.137 (0.124) | 0.371*** (0.051) | 0.288*** (0.095) |
GDP—inflows | − 0.028 (0.044) | 0.142*** (0.018) | − 0.004 (0.020) |
GDP—outflows | 0.029 (0.041) | − 0.170*** (0.021) | − 0.027 (0.019) |
Other controls | |||
Old age dependency—inflows | 0.009 (0.010) | 0.002 (0.006) | 0.003 (0.004) |
Old age dependency—outflows | − 0.026*** (0.009) | − 0.015** (0.006) | − 0.015*** (0.004) |
Population—inflows | 0.181** (0.077) | 0.055*** (0.015) | 0.092*** (0.019) |
Population—outflows | 0.122 (0.063) | 0.037** (0.015) | 0.162*** (0.018) |
Coups—inflows | 0.632 (− 2.634) | − 0.636*** (0.148) | 0.233 (0.298) |
Coups—outflows | − 1.651 (2.524) | 0.146 (0.142) | − 0.017 (0.205) |
Goodness of fit | |||
Indegree or inflows | 0.896 | 0 | 0.044 |
Outdegree or outflows | 0.067 | 0.026 | 0 |