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Table 9 Statistical models of success, with National Endowment for the Arts Jazz Masters award winning band leaders excluded

From: Forbidden triads and creative success in jazz: the Miles Davis factor

  1. OLS model of log(Releases) 2. NB model of Releases 3. OLS model of log(Releases) with fixed effects 4. NB model of Releases with fixed effects
Forbidden triads .0372*** (.0099) .2503*** (.0533) .0256* (.0112) .3124*** (.0432)
Forbidden triads (squared) −.03170** (.0113) −.2334*** (.0612) −.0226 (.0127) −.2905*** (.0499)
Closed triads −.0068 (.0084) −.0364 (.0464) .0127 (.0099) .1828*** (.0388)
Closed triads (squared) .0058 (.0077) .0150 (.0423) −.0152 (.0090) −.1948*** (.0352)
Median tie strength .0006* (.0002) .0070*** (.0013) −.0005 (.0003) −.0001 (.0010)
Median tie strength (squared) .0000 (.0000) −.0001** (.0000) −.0000 (.0000) −.0000 (.0000)
Distinctiveness −.0606*** (.0065) −.4545*** (.0364) −.0347*** (.0094) .0989** (.0369)
Musicians (n) .0002** (.0001) −.0025*** (.0005) .0011*** (.0001) .0078*** (.0006)
Newbies proportion −.0691*** (.0032) −.4854*** (.0188) −.0703*** (.0046) −.4646*** (.0186)
Median past releases .0399*** (.0002) .1238*** (.0011) .0291*** (.0002) .0313*** (.0002)
Past sessions (n) .0000*** (.0000) .0001*** (.0000) −.0000*** (.0000) −.0001*** (.0000)
Year −.0037*** (.0000) −.0188*** (.0002) −.0049*** (.0001) −.0325*** (.0004)
Constant .6713*** (.0049) 2.1477*** (.0270) .7735*** (.0091) 25.7289*** (5.8185)
Fixed effects for band leader No No Yes Yes
N of observations 75,968 75,968 66,486 66,486
F 7866.36***   1886.44***  
Chi-square   59,960.04***   26,950.60***
R-square (adjusted) .554 .1921 .534 .3421
Log likelihood   −126,420.48   −100,230.29
  1. Notes: 1: McFadden’s adjusted pseudo R-squared is used. Standard errors are in parentheses. *: p < .05; **: p < .01; ***: p < .001