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Table 9 Statistical models of success, with National Endowment for the Arts Jazz Masters award winning band leaders excluded

From: Forbidden triads and creative success in jazz: the Miles Davis factor

 

1. OLS model of log(Releases)

2. NB model of Releases

3. OLS model of log(Releases) with fixed effects

4. NB model of Releases with fixed effects

Forbidden triads

.0372*** (.0099)

.2503*** (.0533)

.0256* (.0112)

.3124*** (.0432)

Forbidden triads (squared)

−.03170** (.0113)

−.2334*** (.0612)

−.0226 (.0127)

−.2905*** (.0499)

Closed triads

−.0068 (.0084)

−.0364 (.0464)

.0127 (.0099)

.1828*** (.0388)

Closed triads (squared)

.0058 (.0077)

.0150 (.0423)

−.0152 (.0090)

−.1948*** (.0352)

Median tie strength

.0006* (.0002)

.0070*** (.0013)

−.0005 (.0003)

−.0001 (.0010)

Median tie strength (squared)

.0000 (.0000)

−.0001** (.0000)

−.0000 (.0000)

−.0000 (.0000)

Distinctiveness

−.0606*** (.0065)

−.4545*** (.0364)

−.0347*** (.0094)

.0989** (.0369)

Musicians (n)

.0002** (.0001)

−.0025*** (.0005)

.0011*** (.0001)

.0078*** (.0006)

Newbies proportion

−.0691*** (.0032)

−.4854*** (.0188)

−.0703*** (.0046)

−.4646*** (.0186)

Median past releases

.0399*** (.0002)

.1238*** (.0011)

.0291*** (.0002)

.0313*** (.0002)

Past sessions (n)

.0000*** (.0000)

.0001*** (.0000)

−.0000*** (.0000)

−.0001*** (.0000)

Year

−.0037*** (.0000)

−.0188*** (.0002)

−.0049*** (.0001)

−.0325*** (.0004)

Constant

.6713*** (.0049)

2.1477*** (.0270)

.7735*** (.0091)

25.7289*** (5.8185)

Fixed effects for band leader

No

No

Yes

Yes

N of observations

75,968

75,968

66,486

66,486

F

7866.36***

 

1886.44***

 

Chi-square

 

59,960.04***

 

26,950.60***

R-square (adjusted)

.554

.1921

.534

.3421

Log likelihood

 

−126,420.48

 

−100,230.29

  1. Notes: 1: McFadden’s adjusted pseudo R-squared is used. Standard errors are in parentheses. *: p < .05; **: p < .01; ***: p < .001